Foreign Polciy weighs up 'Brexit'

Re 'Brexit' - Foreign Policy article - JULY 21, 2014 - here.

Interesting article that goes through a number of what-if Britain exits EU scenarios.

First, will Cameron be re-elected 2015 leading to a referendum?

Among the ideas floated:

• Is being outside the EU more beneficial?
• Will UK become an EU junior partner on exit?
• Will Germany take the lead?
• Is EU a house of cards and will the house of cards collapse?
• What of NATO-US considerations?

The feeling I get is that a UK exit was never intended and that there won't be one in future.

I don't know the history of referendums in the UK, but I believe change by way of referendum tends to be difficult to achieve.

I'm just guessing and going by gut feeling, but I reckon that all this 'exit' stuff is a bit of a show designed to gain votes from a public who might otherwise vote for parties that promise an exit.