https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdYwAXZh0ME
Really disliked the Friedman guy, as I was checking this out.
Noam Chomsky's likeable and always interesting.
Friedman sounds sort of mixed up and all over the place. Gets criticised by everybody.
I'm wondering if this is what all White House correspondents are like: ie in the mould of Friedman?
Anyway, that's a bit on what was supposed to be about globalisation ... but I went off on a tangent checking everyone out.
I've looked at this in one sitting & I'm over it now. Need a break.
-------/\/\/ *I don't get the biotech revenues and estimates at all. Numbers isn't my thing. Don't get the comparison between the North Carolina figures & the world figures. *I thought Friedman's formative years, in terms of education and affinity with the state of Israel, was interesting in terms of his later becoming a correspondent re Middle Eastern affairs. As in, Friedman would surely have a pro-Israel bias, as a result? *United Nations Development Program, sound like just another way for Western imperialists to control the rest of the world. |
TOKYO MASTER BANNER
MINISTRY OF TOKYO
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Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
March 21, 2016
Noam Chomsky: What Is Globalisation?
February 15, 2015
Four Horsement - Documentary - Notes Part 2
FOUR HORSEMEN DOCUMENTARY
NOTES, part 2 - From: 44:22 - 1:38:53 ........................................................................... Democrats & Republicans beholden to corporate interests. [below is Politico's list, selected randomly. However, this list did not appear in documentary.] Blue billionaires on top
Military intervention in:
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>US opposing democratic regimes that aren't democratic in the way US wants them to be
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[not in documentary] Public Must Learn to 'Tolerate Inequality' of Bonuses - The Guardian
[not in documentary] 1949 Syrian coup d'état
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Progress
Same thing will be true of active money management.
COMMENT
Found this interesting, while doing my look ups: [Look-Ups, not in documentary] Marshall Plan (refused by Soviet Union & its allies, to avoid US control over economies)
Germany's debt restructuring (London Debt Agreement 1953) mentioned here: Germany's post-war economic miracle From what I've read elsewhere, it looks like Germany was being screwed by those giving Germany a 'helping hand', so the debt restructure can't have been much of a miracle: The Marshall-Plan Hoax This is just a quick skim of the Chilean coup, the Marshall Plan (and the Marshall-Plan Hoax) etc. An initial look and skim that will need to be followed up by some more reading.
J.P. Morgan, Bankers' Coup Creates Federal Reserve, Morgan's Fed Finances World War I |
August 10, 2014
USA - FATCATS OVER DEMOCRACY
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Insight: Plutocracy trumping democracy Timothy J. Barnett is an associate professor in the political science department at Jacksonville State University. His Ph.D. was earned at the University of Kansas. |
This is a fantastic article well worth a read.
Need to link to rest of it (above).
I'm amazed it's come out of the US!
Jacksonville State Uni is Alabama.
Market Morality
Advantage: 5% vs 75%
Advantage: Capital vs No Capital
Free Markets
- Robber Barons
- Monopolists
August 02, 2014
Argentina - what's likely to happen following default
LAHT Article
-------------------------------------------------
COMMENT
The world of bonds/debt and investment seems to have:
If nations that are indebted aren't careful, they stand to lose territory (and maybe even sovereignty), is what I got out of it.
So that maybe explains why people are prepared to continue to invest in a 'bad' lender. Countries have value: resources, territory, strategic location etc.
What's going to happen? I'm guessing there's going to be a buy-out and restructuring on terms that probably aren't favourable to Argentina?
But having read about the 65% 'haircut' or whatever it was, it doesn't sound like the terms are all that great for the lenders. But it depends on how you view profits, I guess. In other words, how much profit is enough profit?
"Barings tried for years to reach a settlement on the debt, repeatedly sending representatives to Buenos Aires, but it was not until 1857 – 29 years after the default -- that Barings and bondholders (backed by the threat of some stiff English gunpowder diplomacy) reached a settlement with what was now the Republic of Argentina -- by issuing new bonds, of course.
And with Argentina’s credit now restored with a £1.6 million Barings recapitalization of the arrears, Barings went on to market another £550,000 for Argentina in the first portion of a £2,500,000 33 year Argentina 6% bond maturing in 1899 and even more issuance followed.
By 1890, however, Argentina was on the brink of default again and almost took Barings down with it. With the Bank of England becoming the world’s lender of last resort, it was Baring’s old rival, Rothschild, who would persuade the British government to put together what became a £17 million rescue on the principle that the collapse of Barings would be a “terrific calamity for English commerce all over the world.” [LAHT]
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COMMENT
The world of bonds/debt and investment seems to have:
* a villain (defaulting debtor)What seems to happen is that someone comes along (a group of big investors or a goverment) and offers a bail-out and restructured terms ... and the debt carries over in some shape or other.
* a victim (investor)
* a rescuer (financial group or even foreign government bank)
If nations that are indebted aren't careful, they stand to lose territory (and maybe even sovereignty), is what I got out of it.
So that maybe explains why people are prepared to continue to invest in a 'bad' lender. Countries have value: resources, territory, strategic location etc.
What's going to happen? I'm guessing there's going to be a buy-out and restructuring on terms that probably aren't favourable to Argentina?
But having read about the 65% 'haircut' or whatever it was, it doesn't sound like the terms are all that great for the lenders. But it depends on how you view profits, I guess. In other words, how much profit is enough profit?
ARGENTINA - $1 BILLION DEFAULT INSURANCE TRIGGERED ON BONDS
Argentina Default Triggers $1 Billion of Swaps After ISDA Ruling By Abigail Moses Aug 2, 2014 2:04 AM ET Argentina’s failure to pay interest on its bonds is a credit event that will trigger settlement of $1 billion of default insurance, according to the International Swaps and Derivatives Association. |
Argentina made the payment.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp didn't make the transfer.
Judge's ruling bars the bank.
Perhaps the State should pay the insurance then, because the matter isn't resolved.
One would think there would be avenues of appeal?
ISDA (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) make binding decisions ...but is ISDA impartial? Is it supposed to be?
Check out the $20 billion bonds associated with Italy!! That looks an interesting story.
August 01, 2014
Argentina - economy info
Argentina
So Argentina's main big dollar export potential would be the petroleum and gas? However, Argentina also imports:
Think it might be best to just try to find the 'why is Argentina in default' information in a news article, because my snooping's getting nowhere.
At this rate, I'd take days to make out what's going on -- and I haven't got days, I'm starving now.
Interest Rate | 22.50% |
Inflation Rate | 10.90% |
Debt/GDP | 45.60% |
Current Account | 00.90 |
Sticky breaking to see what the go is with Argentina defaulting on bonds. It has a very high interest rate compared to the countries that are doing OK - eg. UK interest rate 0.5%, Germany and France both at 0.15% and Australia at 2.5%.
Inflation rate is high (as is that of Venezuela and Iran).
Inflation rate is high (as is that of Venezuela and Iran).
Countries with low inflation include US and its allies. Debt to GDP figure doesn't seem that high.
Not far more than Sweden. But Sweden has a positive current account figure, low inflation and low interest rates.
The current account is a country's Goods and Services figure minus Imports (ie what it's making vs what it's spending, and a few other things in equation, I think). Current account explanation is here.
Argentina's current account being in the negative, it doesn't have foreign wealth. It is a borrower from foreign sources.
So what has Argentina got? Found a cool site that lists resources - here. Bit too involved for me, but cool info.
According to another site, country reports org - here:
Argentina - Exports | |
---|---|
Major Exports
| Top Export Partners
|
So Argentina's main big dollar export potential would be the petroleum and gas? However, Argentina also imports:
"machinery, motor vehicles, petroleum and natural gas, organic chemicals, plastics"Confused now that 'petrolum and natural gas' is on the list.
Think it might be best to just try to find the 'why is Argentina in default' information in a news article, because my snooping's getting nowhere.
At this rate, I'd take days to make out what's going on -- and I haven't got days, I'm starving now.
Argentina - Defaults on Debt Repayments on Bonds - 'Vulture' Hedge Funds
Argentina Defaults: Three Points
July 31, 2014
... Argentina failed to reach an agreement with several hedge funds holding its bonds and it defaulted on its debt payments. First, S&P lowered the country’s rating to “selective default,” which means that Argentina had failed to make some interest payments on its bonds. Then, Argentina’s economy minister ... Axel Kicillof, said that the “vulture” hedge funds had declined to accept Argentina’s offer to swap out their bonds for new ones, and that he was therefore heading home.
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-07-31/argentina-defaults-three-points
Default is a major disaster for a government, but not much will happen right away now that Standard & Poor’s has declared Argentina to be in “selective default.”S&P (MHFI) took the action today after Argentina’s talks with holdout creditors continued past the end of the 30-day grace period for a $539 million bond payment.
Defaults are usually bad for bond prices. But prices for Argentine bonds soared today ... because investors are increasingly optimistic that Argentina will strike a deal with its creditors. ...
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-07-30/what-happens-now-that-argentina-is-in-selective-default
This sounds exciting.
I've not read up on bonds, but there's a link - here - for anyone that's keen.
Looks like Argentina's borrowed money that it can't pay back.
Doesn't sound too good.
Too tired to try to figure it out beyond that.
July 31, 2014
IMT - Trotskyism
Alan Woods is a 'political theorist'.
Curious about him because he got a mention in an economics article relating to Venezuela.
Described as 'one of the leading members of 'International Marxist Tendencies' (IMT).
2009 dispute IMT leadership and leaderships of it's groups in:
In 2010 these (or portions) broke with IMT and established new international body, 'Corriente Marxista Revolucionaria':
Thereafter break aways form 'Towards a New International Tendency' in:
Sounds like keeping everyone happy and united ain't easy.
Not really sure what this is all about. Suppose it is some kind of interest/lobby group of supporters of 'orthodox Trotskyism'.
What is 'Trotskyism'?
Marxist theory:
I'm getting lost now. Don't know enough to grasp this stuff.
Worldwide anything doesn't seem a realistic goal.
Also, nothing is 'permanent'. All empires crumble.
Really surprised to see Iran get a mention.
I don't associate the Middle East with socialism, although Latin America and socialism compute because of all those cool pics of Che Guevara. LOL
Wondering what happens to revolutionaries when they attain their goals and no longer have the fun of the chase.
Are they content? Or is there always some other chase to be had?
Is everyone chasing their own idea of nirvana?
Curious about him because he got a mention in an economics article relating to Venezuela.
Described as 'one of the leading members of 'International Marxist Tendencies' (IMT).
Wikipedia:
So that is:The International Marxist Tendency adheres to orthodox Trotskyism, emphasising the education of cadres of workers and youth.
The IMT manifesto makes demands such as "the end to privatisation and the abandonment of market economics", "the nationalisation of privatised companies without compensation" and "the reintroduction of the state monopoly of foreign trade".The IMT has spread to parts of Latin America, where it now has groups in Venezuela, Peru, Argentina, Mexico, Bolivia, Brazil and El Salvador. At the end of 2002 it promoted the launching of the solidarity campaign at Hands Off Venezuela, which is now active in 30 countries and has had resolutions passed within the trade union movements in Britain, Canada, Italy and other countries.
- education and training of labour force.
- end to privatisation.
- abandonment of 'market economics' - supply and demand market / prices determined in free price system (contrast fixed price system - govt set price).
- nationalisation of privatised companies without compensation.
- reintroduction of state monopoly of foreign trade.
2009 dispute IMT leadership and leaderships of it's groups in:
- Spain
- Venezuela
- Mexico
In 2010 these (or portions) broke with IMT and established new international body, 'Corriente Marxista Revolucionaria':
- Spain
- Venezuela
- Mexico (part)
- Columbia
Thereafter break aways form 'Towards a New International Tendency' in:
- Sweden
- Poland
- Britain
Sounds like keeping everyone happy and united ain't easy.
Not really sure what this is all about. Suppose it is some kind of interest/lobby group of supporters of 'orthodox Trotskyism'.
What is 'Trotskyism'?
Marxist theory:
Trotskyism is the theory of Marxism as advocated by Leon Trotsky. Trotsky identified as an orthodox Marxist and Bolshevik-Leninist, and supported founding a vanguard party of the working-class, proletarian internationalism, and a dictatorship of the proletariat based on working-class self-emancipation and mass democracy. Trotskyists are critical of Stalinism, as they oppose the idea of Socialism in One Country. ... [wikipedia]
So they don't just want socialism in one nation; it's a worldwide effort?
International revolution
According to classical Marxism, revolution in peasant-based countries, such as Russia, prepares the ground ultimately only for a development of capitalism since the liberated peasants become small owners, producers and traders which leads to the growth of commodity markets, from which a new capitalist class emerges. Only fully developed capitalist conditions prepare the basis for socialism.
Trotsky agreed that a new socialist state and economy in a country like Russia would not be able to hold out against the pressures of a hostile capitalist world, as well as the internal pressures of its backward economy. The revolution, Trotsky argued, must quickly spread to capitalist countries, bringing about a socialist revolution which must spread worldwide. In this way the revolution is "permanent", moving out of necessity first, from the bourgeois revolution to the workers’ revolution, and from there uninterruptedly to European and worldwide revolutions.
I'm getting lost now. Don't know enough to grasp this stuff.
Worldwide anything doesn't seem a realistic goal.
Also, nothing is 'permanent'. All empires crumble.
Really surprised to see Iran get a mention.
I don't associate the Middle East with socialism, although Latin America and socialism compute because of all those cool pics of Che Guevara. LOL
Wondering what happens to revolutionaries when they attain their goals and no longer have the fun of the chase.
Are they content? Or is there always some other chase to be had?
Is everyone chasing their own idea of nirvana?
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